First, I must apologize for the absence of my column last week. I wrote it, and clicked the Publish Post button, but for some reason it did not appear on the blog. Suffice it to say I picked all the home teams, so I went 2-2. That meanst I still have a losing record for the playoffs, going 3-5. I need to win the Conference Championship games and the Super Bowl to end the postseason with a winning record. OUCH!
First, let's review the Divisional Round games:
Baltimore Ravens at Pittsburgh Steelers: This one progressed much like we thought. It was pretty close throughout, even if Baltimore took a ten-point lead in the first half. The defenses weren't quite as stifling as I figured, but it was a physical game. There were even a couple of fights! In the end, the Steelers' defense stuffed the Ravens, giving Big Ben and the offense a chance to come back. Still, it took a couple of crazy third and very long conversions for the Steelers to take the lead.
Green Bay Packers at Atlanta Falcons: The Pack went into overdrive! They took an early lead and never looked back. The Falcons couldn't stop them, so they never gave Matty Ice a chance to lead a comeback. For the last five weeks, no quarterback has been as outstanding as Aaron Rodgers, and this game proved that.
Seattle Seahawks at Chicago Bears: This game wasn't as close as the score indicates. The Bears got conservative in the fourth quarter, when they led by over twenty points, and the Seahawks were given a touchdown on an invalid pass interference call. I'll never know why Lovie Smith didn't challenge that call, but it didn't matter anyway. The Bears won with ease, and Jay Cutler looked very comfortable. He passed for two touchdowns and ran for two touchdowns. While he used tight end Greg Olsen often in the first half, he spread the wealth more in the second half, keeping the Seahawks secondary on edge. Rodgers may have been more productive, but Cutler had the best overall personal performance.
New York Jets at New England Patriots: The Jets proved they had some talent to back up their bluster. The defense frustrated the powerful Patriots' offense for most of the game. However, Belichick began to figure them out. They had an 18-point lead midway in the third quarter, yet the Patriots almost came back to win. What's more impressive about that is that the Patriots attempted three onside kicks and failed to recover all three. Despite that, the Pats defense held back the Jets and the offense scored quickly enough to give Brady and company enough time to tie the game. A couple of dropped passes propelled the Jets into the AFC Conference game.
Speaking of that AFC Conference Game, that's the first one to pick. The Jets near loss in theit Divisional Round game makes me think Big Ben could successfully engineer another comeback, but I have one concern. As we learned in their game against the Ravens, their offensive line is beaten up. The Jets defense will take advantage of that, rushing the QB and pushing against the line. That could hamper Rashad Mendelhall, too. Pitt could win, but I think the Jets are simply in better physical shape, an important aspect to the type of physical game these teams will play. JETS, 20-16
NFC Championship - #6 Green Bay Packers (12-6) at #2 Chicago Bears: This is the second championship game with the sixth and second seeds. It's extremely rare for the same seeds in both conferences to play in the conference championship, and we've never had both sixth seeds play both two seeds since the new playoff system began. Aaron Rodgers has been the hottest QB in the league for the past few weeks, and the Pack are excited about returning to the Super Bowl. They could do it, but I'm skeptical. The Pack is physically banged up on defense, which opens the door for some the Bears' offense, who showed great versatility last week. The Pack beat them 10-3 to close the season, but the starters weren't playing in the second half. Those ten points were the fewest points scored by the Pack all season, which shows the power of the Bears defense. I think they'll score more than that, and keep the game close, but the Bears will prevail. BEARS, 27-24
Thursday, January 20, 2011
Thursday, January 6, 2011
NFL 2010 Results and Wildcard Round picks
I'll start by seeing how effective was my prognostication skills. I'll examine, division by division, how well I picked the final standings, including overall record and divisional record.
AFC East: I wasn't bad here. While I thought the Jets would win the division and the Pats would come in second, I nearly picked the final standings. I wasn't as good with records, correctly picking the divisional records of Miami and Buffalo, but missing on everything else.
AFC North: Other than switching the final positions of Cincinnati and Cleveland, I did fairly well here. While I was a bit off on overall records, I was nearly correct on all divisional records. Overall, this was probably my best division, even though I was closer on records in the NFC East.
AFC South: I correctly placed Indianapolis and Houston, although I thought Indy would do much better than they did. I was pretty accurate with Houston, but the others pretty much shocked me.
AFC West: This was my worst division. I wasn't correct on ANYTHING. Like most people, the Chiefs' success caught me completely off-guard; I had predicted that they'd trail the division. The other three were in the order I predicted, but of course one position lower. San Diego and Denver did worse than I predicted while Oakland did better.
NFC East: While I had the order mixed up, I was pretty close in predicting the records. I was exactly correct with both Philly and Dallas, and only one off from New York, who I had predicted to win the division with an 11-5 record. Washington was my biggest disappointment, and I was only off by two games, predicting they'd finish third with an 8-8 record.
NFC North: I should have had more faith in my Bears. I predicted that they'd lose the division, and instead they won. I correctly predicted Detroit would place third. Green Bay was the only team whose record I closely predicted. Chicago and Detroit did better than I expected while Minnesota did much worse.
NFC South: This one proved a surprise, too. Atlanta and Tampa Bay did much better than I thought, New Orleans didn't do as well, and Carolina did much worse, although I did figure that Carolina would lose the division.
NFC West: As a whole, this division did much worse than I thought. I thought this division would produce two playoff teams; instead, they shouldn't have produced any. The Rams did much better than I thought while Arizona and the 49ers did MUCH worse. Seattle did about as well as I thought, except I thought their performance would earn them a third place finish. In any other division, it would have.
AFC Playoff picks:
#6 New York Jets (11-5) at #3 Indianapolis Colts (10-6): While the Jets have the better record, they fear a loss. They have reason to do so. The Colts beat the Jets earlier in the season, back when Peyton Manning was making due to a bunch of young new receivers. Now Manning is more familiar with those receivers, and has regained a couple of his favored targets, as well. That makes it dangerous. While the Jets' defense could stiffen and force a turnover, I think the Colts will win this game. COLTS, 27-23
#5 Baltimore Ravens (12-4) at #4 Kansas City Chiefs (10-6): KC has been a powerful team at home all season, but postseason is something different. Baltimore's defense is tough, and their offense isn't bad, either. The Chiefs are a tough offense to stop, but they can be slowed, and I think the Ravens will slow them down just enough. RAVENS, 26-23
NFC Playoff picks:
#5 New Orleans Saints (11-5) at #4 Seattle Seahawks (7-9): I've heard several national announcers state that they think this game will be close. I think they're just trying to justify having a 7-9 team in the playoffs. Let's face it, the Seahawks just don't belong. The Saints offense may stumble a bit, as the Seahawks' defense will attempt to justify their existence in the playoffs, but the Saints will easily prevail in the end. SAINTS, 27-16
#6 Green Bay Packers (10-6) at #3 Philadelphia Eagles (10-6): The respective records of these teams would seem to indicate that this will be the closest game, but I think the Jets and Colts will establish that. Michael Vick is a tough quarterback to pressure, and the Pack's pass rush isn't strong. The Packers' offense can move, but the Eagles will stay ahead of them. EAGLES, 30-24
AFC East: I wasn't bad here. While I thought the Jets would win the division and the Pats would come in second, I nearly picked the final standings. I wasn't as good with records, correctly picking the divisional records of Miami and Buffalo, but missing on everything else.
AFC North: Other than switching the final positions of Cincinnati and Cleveland, I did fairly well here. While I was a bit off on overall records, I was nearly correct on all divisional records. Overall, this was probably my best division, even though I was closer on records in the NFC East.
AFC South: I correctly placed Indianapolis and Houston, although I thought Indy would do much better than they did. I was pretty accurate with Houston, but the others pretty much shocked me.
AFC West: This was my worst division. I wasn't correct on ANYTHING. Like most people, the Chiefs' success caught me completely off-guard; I had predicted that they'd trail the division. The other three were in the order I predicted, but of course one position lower. San Diego and Denver did worse than I predicted while Oakland did better.
NFC East: While I had the order mixed up, I was pretty close in predicting the records. I was exactly correct with both Philly and Dallas, and only one off from New York, who I had predicted to win the division with an 11-5 record. Washington was my biggest disappointment, and I was only off by two games, predicting they'd finish third with an 8-8 record.
NFC North: I should have had more faith in my Bears. I predicted that they'd lose the division, and instead they won. I correctly predicted Detroit would place third. Green Bay was the only team whose record I closely predicted. Chicago and Detroit did better than I expected while Minnesota did much worse.
NFC South: This one proved a surprise, too. Atlanta and Tampa Bay did much better than I thought, New Orleans didn't do as well, and Carolina did much worse, although I did figure that Carolina would lose the division.
NFC West: As a whole, this division did much worse than I thought. I thought this division would produce two playoff teams; instead, they shouldn't have produced any. The Rams did much better than I thought while Arizona and the 49ers did MUCH worse. Seattle did about as well as I thought, except I thought their performance would earn them a third place finish. In any other division, it would have.
AFC Playoff picks:
#6 New York Jets (11-5) at #3 Indianapolis Colts (10-6): While the Jets have the better record, they fear a loss. They have reason to do so. The Colts beat the Jets earlier in the season, back when Peyton Manning was making due to a bunch of young new receivers. Now Manning is more familiar with those receivers, and has regained a couple of his favored targets, as well. That makes it dangerous. While the Jets' defense could stiffen and force a turnover, I think the Colts will win this game. COLTS, 27-23
#5 Baltimore Ravens (12-4) at #4 Kansas City Chiefs (10-6): KC has been a powerful team at home all season, but postseason is something different. Baltimore's defense is tough, and their offense isn't bad, either. The Chiefs are a tough offense to stop, but they can be slowed, and I think the Ravens will slow them down just enough. RAVENS, 26-23
NFC Playoff picks:
#5 New Orleans Saints (11-5) at #4 Seattle Seahawks (7-9): I've heard several national announcers state that they think this game will be close. I think they're just trying to justify having a 7-9 team in the playoffs. Let's face it, the Seahawks just don't belong. The Saints offense may stumble a bit, as the Seahawks' defense will attempt to justify their existence in the playoffs, but the Saints will easily prevail in the end. SAINTS, 27-16
#6 Green Bay Packers (10-6) at #3 Philadelphia Eagles (10-6): The respective records of these teams would seem to indicate that this will be the closest game, but I think the Jets and Colts will establish that. Michael Vick is a tough quarterback to pressure, and the Pack's pass rush isn't strong. The Packers' offense can move, but the Eagles will stay ahead of them. EAGLES, 30-24
Saturday, January 1, 2011
NFL Week 17 picks
Many playoff spots are determined, but several are still up for grabs. This week, I'll examine playoff seeds, not division titles. That analysis will follow the picks. Amazingly, all of the games are divisional ones. It's an interesting way to finish the season.
Sunday early games:
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: The Jets are playing their starters, even though they've already clinched the playoffs. They apparently want to get the fifth seed instead of the sixth, to prevent playing the Patriots if they win the opening round. That bodes ill for Buffalo, who have fought hard since Ryan Fitzpatrick has taken over as QB, but haven't quite been able to "seal the deal." Unless the Jets pull their starters for the second half, I don't think they'll win this one, either. JETS, 24-17
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons need a victory to win the NFC South and clinch top seed in the NFC playoffs. I think they'll do that, even if they rest Matty Ice and other starters during the second half. The Panthers offense has sputtered badly this season; it's the worst in the league in most categories. Atlanta should have no trouble locking in the top seed. FALCONS, 29-16
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: Baltimore still has a chance to win the AFC North, and a first week bye at the same time. That means they'll play their starters, and crush the struggling Cincinnati Bengals. RAVENS, 23-16
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: This game could go either way. Since the Patriots have already clinched the top seed in the playoffs, Belichik might rest his guys. In that case, I think the Dolphins are good enough to win. If the Pats play their starting offense for even the first half, I think they'll establish too large a lead to lose. Since they haven't announced which way they're going, I can't pick this game.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: Brett Favre is out of action. Joe Webb engineered an upset last week, but nobody knew what he could do. Detroit will be prepared. The Lions are actually a decent team this year, and this final victory will prove that. LIONS, 23-17
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs are the third seed in the AFC, and they can't improve that. They could relax, but all released reports state that Matt Cassel and most of the starters will be playing. I'm sure how long they will play, though. If they play long enough, the Chiefs will win. The Raiders have survived by their defense; they aren't great at coming back from a deficit. I think the starters will establish a large enough gap to win. CHIEFS, 23-20
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: The Steelers are playing for the AFC North title and second seed in the playoffs. That will motivate them. The Browns aren't strong enough to hold them back. STEELERS, 24-13
Tampa Bay Bucs at New Orleans Saints: The Saints still have a chance to win the NFC South. It would require a Saints win and a Falcons loss. The Bucs are playing for a slim chance at the playoffs, so this is the first game where both teams have something at stake. The Saints have been playing very well recently, winning seven of their last eight games. That's an excellent streak, which shows that they have their offense working. With Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas back to full service, they'll be too tough for the Bucs defense to stop. SAINTS, 24-20
Sunday late games:
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: Like the Vikings-Lions game, this one features two teams with no playoff chances. For the Cardinals, they want to finish the season on a two-game winning streak. Derek Anderson also wants to wipe out the memory of this sideline antics and post-game rant. For the 49ers, they want to redeem themselves for the loss of their coach. This will be a tight game, not clean on offense, but should see a win for the home team. 49ERS, 20-16
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: Both teams are playing for important positions, although Chicago will know if they could get theirs before the game begins. Chicago has locked a first week bye; they are playing for the top seed. They can capture that if Atlanta loses to Carolina, but I don't think that'll happen. Thus, I think the Bears will rest their starters, giving Green Bay the chance to clinch the playoffs PACK, 24-16
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles have locked the third seed, and that's immovable. We already know Michael Vick won't play, and other starters will be rested. That allows Dallas to win one more for their interim coach, helping to propel Jason Garrett to the top candidates for the permanent head coach job. COWBOYS, 24-23
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: The Jags need a win to have a chance at the playoffs, but things look grim. Both David Garrard and Maurice Jones-Drew are injured. Trent Edwards is good, but the loss of TE Zach Miller makes it harder for him. I think the Texans' defense will dominate this game, and allow the Texans to knock out the Jags. TEXANS, 23-20
New York Giants at Washington Redskins: The Giants need a victory AND a Packers loss to reach the playoffs. The Giants will pull out all of the stops to win this game. As they proved in the Super Bowl against the unbeaten Patriots, the Giants can be most dangerous when they come into a game with their backs against the wall. Washington's defense will make it a tough game, but I think the Giants will prevail. GIANTS, 23-16
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: The Chargers are out of playoff contention, but they want this game to prevent a losing divisional record. The Broncos have struggled mightily this season, especially on defense; they have allowed more points than any other team. The Chargers offense has been kicking it up recently, which makes it dark for the Broncos' chances. CHARGERS, 24-20
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: Peyton Manning is starting to get into sync with his new receivers, and some old ones are coming back from injury. Furthermore, they need this victory to clinch the AFC South. They'll also know if the third seed is possible (if KC loses, they could capture the third seed with a win). That much incentive gives the advantage to Indy, although the Titans defense will keep it close. COLTS, 27-23
Sunday Night -- St Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks: The winner of this game wins the LAST division title -- the NFC West. If Seattle wins, a team with a losing record will capture a playoff berth. I am never in favor of that. I'd pick the Rams just to prevent that, but the Rams also have the talent to win. Sam Bradford is getting used to the NFL, and he's got the team going in the right directions. Seattle may start Matt Hasselbeck, but he's not 100% healthy, and his injured hip will limit his mobility. The Rams can rush the passer, and they'll likely knock out Hasselbeck in the first half. His backup, Charlie Whitehurst, is not great, so the loss of Hasselbeck will kill Seattle's chances. RAMS, 23-13
AFC Playoffs:
1st seed: New England Patriots
2nd seed: This will be the winner of the AFC North. Pittsburgh has the edge - they win if both the Steelers and Ravens lose, and definitely win if the Steelers beat Cleveland. I think this one will belong to Pittsburgh
3rd seed: It's currently KC. Indy can capture it if the Chiefs lose and the Colts win
4th seed: Likely to be the AFC South winner, but the Colts could leap up if KC loses. I think the Jags will lose due to key injuries, and Indy will win. That means KC must overcome Oakland, or the Chiefs land here.
5th seed: Baltimore has the inside track. If they win, they have it. If the Jets win AND Ravens lose, the Jets land here. I think Baltimore will beat Cincy to capture this seed.
6th seed: The Jets currently have his slot, and the only way they move up is to beat Buffalo AND hope Cincy beats Baltimore
NFC Playoffs:
1st seed: Atlanta will capture this with an easy win over Carolina. Chicago has to hope the Panthers pull off a miracle.
2nd seed: This one basically belongs to Chicago, as Atlanta should win easily.
3rd seed: Philadelphia Eagles
4th seed: This one belongs to the winner of the Rams-Seahawks contest
5th seed: The Saints have this one, as I doubt Atlanta will lose. Basically, the runner-up of the NFC South has this spot
6th seed: This one is really up for grabs. Three teams have a chance: Green Bay, New York Giants, and Tampa Bay. The Pack have it if they win, or if all three lose. The Giants clinch if they win and the Pack lose. The Bucs can sneak in if they win AND the other two lose.
Sunday early games:
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets: The Jets are playing their starters, even though they've already clinched the playoffs. They apparently want to get the fifth seed instead of the sixth, to prevent playing the Patriots if they win the opening round. That bodes ill for Buffalo, who have fought hard since Ryan Fitzpatrick has taken over as QB, but haven't quite been able to "seal the deal." Unless the Jets pull their starters for the second half, I don't think they'll win this one, either. JETS, 24-17
Carolina Panthers at Atlanta Falcons: The Falcons need a victory to win the NFC South and clinch top seed in the NFC playoffs. I think they'll do that, even if they rest Matty Ice and other starters during the second half. The Panthers offense has sputtered badly this season; it's the worst in the league in most categories. Atlanta should have no trouble locking in the top seed. FALCONS, 29-16
Cincinnati Bengals at Baltimore Ravens: Baltimore still has a chance to win the AFC North, and a first week bye at the same time. That means they'll play their starters, and crush the struggling Cincinnati Bengals. RAVENS, 23-16
Miami Dolphins at New England Patriots: This game could go either way. Since the Patriots have already clinched the top seed in the playoffs, Belichik might rest his guys. In that case, I think the Dolphins are good enough to win. If the Pats play their starting offense for even the first half, I think they'll establish too large a lead to lose. Since they haven't announced which way they're going, I can't pick this game.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions: Brett Favre is out of action. Joe Webb engineered an upset last week, but nobody knew what he could do. Detroit will be prepared. The Lions are actually a decent team this year, and this final victory will prove that. LIONS, 23-17
Oakland Raiders at Kansas City Chiefs: The Chiefs are the third seed in the AFC, and they can't improve that. They could relax, but all released reports state that Matt Cassel and most of the starters will be playing. I'm sure how long they will play, though. If they play long enough, the Chiefs will win. The Raiders have survived by their defense; they aren't great at coming back from a deficit. I think the starters will establish a large enough gap to win. CHIEFS, 23-20
Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns: The Steelers are playing for the AFC North title and second seed in the playoffs. That will motivate them. The Browns aren't strong enough to hold them back. STEELERS, 24-13
Tampa Bay Bucs at New Orleans Saints: The Saints still have a chance to win the NFC South. It would require a Saints win and a Falcons loss. The Bucs are playing for a slim chance at the playoffs, so this is the first game where both teams have something at stake. The Saints have been playing very well recently, winning seven of their last eight games. That's an excellent streak, which shows that they have their offense working. With Reggie Bush and Pierre Thomas back to full service, they'll be too tough for the Bucs defense to stop. SAINTS, 24-20
Sunday late games:
Arizona Cardinals at San Francisco 49ers: Like the Vikings-Lions game, this one features two teams with no playoff chances. For the Cardinals, they want to finish the season on a two-game winning streak. Derek Anderson also wants to wipe out the memory of this sideline antics and post-game rant. For the 49ers, they want to redeem themselves for the loss of their coach. This will be a tight game, not clean on offense, but should see a win for the home team. 49ERS, 20-16
Chicago Bears at Green Bay Packers: Both teams are playing for important positions, although Chicago will know if they could get theirs before the game begins. Chicago has locked a first week bye; they are playing for the top seed. They can capture that if Atlanta loses to Carolina, but I don't think that'll happen. Thus, I think the Bears will rest their starters, giving Green Bay the chance to clinch the playoffs PACK, 24-16
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles: The Eagles have locked the third seed, and that's immovable. We already know Michael Vick won't play, and other starters will be rested. That allows Dallas to win one more for their interim coach, helping to propel Jason Garrett to the top candidates for the permanent head coach job. COWBOYS, 24-23
Jacksonville Jaguars at Houston Texans: The Jags need a win to have a chance at the playoffs, but things look grim. Both David Garrard and Maurice Jones-Drew are injured. Trent Edwards is good, but the loss of TE Zach Miller makes it harder for him. I think the Texans' defense will dominate this game, and allow the Texans to knock out the Jags. TEXANS, 23-20
New York Giants at Washington Redskins: The Giants need a victory AND a Packers loss to reach the playoffs. The Giants will pull out all of the stops to win this game. As they proved in the Super Bowl against the unbeaten Patriots, the Giants can be most dangerous when they come into a game with their backs against the wall. Washington's defense will make it a tough game, but I think the Giants will prevail. GIANTS, 23-16
San Diego Chargers at Denver Broncos: The Chargers are out of playoff contention, but they want this game to prevent a losing divisional record. The Broncos have struggled mightily this season, especially on defense; they have allowed more points than any other team. The Chargers offense has been kicking it up recently, which makes it dark for the Broncos' chances. CHARGERS, 24-20
Tennessee Titans at Indianapolis Colts: Peyton Manning is starting to get into sync with his new receivers, and some old ones are coming back from injury. Furthermore, they need this victory to clinch the AFC South. They'll also know if the third seed is possible (if KC loses, they could capture the third seed with a win). That much incentive gives the advantage to Indy, although the Titans defense will keep it close. COLTS, 27-23
Sunday Night -- St Louis Rams at Seattle Seahawks: The winner of this game wins the LAST division title -- the NFC West. If Seattle wins, a team with a losing record will capture a playoff berth. I am never in favor of that. I'd pick the Rams just to prevent that, but the Rams also have the talent to win. Sam Bradford is getting used to the NFL, and he's got the team going in the right directions. Seattle may start Matt Hasselbeck, but he's not 100% healthy, and his injured hip will limit his mobility. The Rams can rush the passer, and they'll likely knock out Hasselbeck in the first half. His backup, Charlie Whitehurst, is not great, so the loss of Hasselbeck will kill Seattle's chances. RAMS, 23-13
AFC Playoffs:
1st seed: New England Patriots
2nd seed: This will be the winner of the AFC North. Pittsburgh has the edge - they win if both the Steelers and Ravens lose, and definitely win if the Steelers beat Cleveland. I think this one will belong to Pittsburgh
3rd seed: It's currently KC. Indy can capture it if the Chiefs lose and the Colts win
4th seed: Likely to be the AFC South winner, but the Colts could leap up if KC loses. I think the Jags will lose due to key injuries, and Indy will win. That means KC must overcome Oakland, or the Chiefs land here.
5th seed: Baltimore has the inside track. If they win, they have it. If the Jets win AND Ravens lose, the Jets land here. I think Baltimore will beat Cincy to capture this seed.
6th seed: The Jets currently have his slot, and the only way they move up is to beat Buffalo AND hope Cincy beats Baltimore
NFC Playoffs:
1st seed: Atlanta will capture this with an easy win over Carolina. Chicago has to hope the Panthers pull off a miracle.
2nd seed: This one basically belongs to Chicago, as Atlanta should win easily.
3rd seed: Philadelphia Eagles
4th seed: This one belongs to the winner of the Rams-Seahawks contest
5th seed: The Saints have this one, as I doubt Atlanta will lose. Basically, the runner-up of the NFC South has this spot
6th seed: This one is really up for grabs. Three teams have a chance: Green Bay, New York Giants, and Tampa Bay. The Pack have it if they win, or if all three lose. The Giants clinch if they win and the Pack lose. The Bucs can sneak in if they win AND the other two lose.
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