Tuesday, August 30, 2022

NCAA Football Week 1 Part 2

 Okay, now time for the REAL start of the college football season, as nearly every team gets involved during Labor Day Weekend.

Thurs Sept 1

St Francis PA Red Flash at Akron Zips : The Red Flash are not a strong FCS team, so the Zips get to start off strongly.  AKRON by 16

Central Michigan Chippewas at Oklahoma State Cowboys : On the other hand, the Chippewas will find themselves over their heads here, and the Cowboys will show no mercy.  The Cowboys' heads are overblown, as they have been a bit overly-hyped, so they foolishly believe they have a shot at the Playoffs, so they want to run up the score.  OKLAHOMA STATE by 26

Ball State Cardinals at Tennessee Volunteers : Tennessee is not as good as they think they are, so the Cardinals might surprise early.  The Vols will pour it on in the second half, though.  TENNESSEE by 16

South Carolina State Bulldogs at UCF Golden Knights : The Bulldogs are not a terrible FCS team, but the Knights are a strong force.  UCF by 18

Long Island Sharks at Toledo Rockets : The Sharks are improving, but the Rockets have a strong offense.  They will wear down the Sharks.  TOLEDO by 20

Penn State Nittany Lions at Purdue Boilermakers : Penn State will be challenged by some of the toughest teams in the conference, but that classification does not include Purdue.  PENN STATE by 16

Eastern Illinois Panthers at Northern Illinois Huskies : The Panthers can be a fierce FCS team, but the Huskies will compete for the MAC Championship, so this one will be over by the half.  NORTHERN ILLINOIS by 20

New Mexico State Aggies at Minnesota Golden Gophers : The Gophers will dominate early and intimidate the Aggies.  Minnesota has a strong ball control offense, so I'm not sure the Aggies will have the ball more than five times.  MINNESOTA by 17

Northern Arizona Lumberjacks at Arizona State Sun Devils : The Lumberjacks have a history of upsetting FBS teams, and if the Sun Devils aren't careful, they will be their next victim.  Arizona State frequently needs a couple of weeks to gel, and that makes this game very risky.  ARIZONA STATE by four

Fri Sept 2

Western Michigan Broncos at Michigan State Spartans : The Broncos frequently play Big Ten teams tough, but the stingy defense of the Spartans willb e the edge here.  MICHIGAN STATE by 12

Eastern Kentucky Colonels at Eastern Michigan Eagles : This will likely be a tough season for the Eagles, and it could start with a loss to FCS Eastern Kentucky.  the Colonels are a decent team, and if the Eagles don't get it together quickly, they will find themselves on the low end of an upset.  EASTERN MICHIGAN by five

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Kansas Jayhawks : Here is another opportunity for a FCS upset over a FBS team, and Kansas is a frequent foil.  The Golden Eagles aren't quite as strong as they have been, but they might still knock off the Jayhawks.  KANSAS by two

Illinois Fighting Illini at Indiana Hoosiers : Wow, the Illini did eveen better against Wyoming as I thought!  the defense is hot, and that's what they need to slow down the strong Hoosier offense.  Indiana has a tendency to give away the ball at least once in their own territory, and that one easy score could push the Illini into a second win.  ILLINOIS by eight

Sat Sept 3

Big Ten:

Colorado State Rams at Michigan Wolverines : The Wolverines start their Big Ten title defense by slaughtering the visiting Rams.  MICHIGAN by 27

South Dakota State Jackrabbits at Iowa Hawkeyes : This isn't basketball, folks.  IOWA by 23

Buffalo Bulls at Maryland Terrapins : Whoa, this is a thrilling matchup!  The Terrapins probably think they will win this easily, but the Bulls will be a tough team this season.  I favor the Terrapins because they have done supremely well against non-conference opponents in recent years, but the Bulls have a chance for an upset.  MARYLAND by ten

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Boston College Eagles : The Eagles aren't a great team this season, and their usually strong defense seems somewhat lacking.  This is an excellent chance for Rutgers to pull off a surprise road win.  RUTGERS by four

North Dakota Fighting Hawks at Nebraska Conrhuskers : Nebraska got blasted last week, and they hope to improve.  The Hawks will make it tough, as they are a really good FCS team.  NEBRASKA by six

Illinois State Redbirds at Wisconsin Badgers : The Badgers might accumulate over 150 yards on the ground in the game.  WISCONSIN by 20

Notre Dame Fighting Irish at Ohio State Buckeyes : Once again, the Buckeyes face a really tough opponent in the first week.  Could they lose?  If they do, I think that will motivate them to destroy all of their remaining opponents.  After all, we've seen that before!  However, after losing to Michigan last year, they already have enough motivation to come out strong.  OHIO STATE by six

MAC

Bowling Green Falcons at UCLA Bruins : The Falcons are overmatched here.  UCLA by 16

Florida Atlantic Owls at Ohio Bobcats : If I wasn't sure of the result of this game before last week, watching the Owls roll convinced me!  FLORIDA ATLANTIC by 18

Miami Ohio Redhawks at Kentucky Wildcats : The Redhawks will challenge their conference opponents, but the Wildcats will prove to be too much of a challenge.  KENTUCKY by 15

Kent State Golden Flashes at Washington Huskies : This one won't be pretty for Kent State fans.  WASHINGTON by 20

Other Games of Interest

Central Connecticut Blue Devils at UConn Huskies : Here's another potential FCS upset.  UCONN by eight

North Carolina Tar Heels at Appalachian State Mountaineers : Sorry, ACC fans.  The Tar Heels aren't strong enough to keep pace with one of the most dynamic offenses in FBS.  APPALACHIAN STATE by 16

Richmond Spiders at Virginia Cavaliers : The Spiders have beaten Virginia in the past, and if the Cavs aren't careful, it'll happen again.  VIRGINIA by seven

Oregon Ducks at Georgia Bulldogs : The Ducks offense will be crushed by the Bulldogs defense, and their defense can't stop Georgia.  GEORGIA by 15

Cincinnati Bearcats at Arkansas Razorbacks : The dynamic Bearcats will tear through a slightly porous Razorbacks defense.  CINCY by 16

Houston Cougars at UTSA Roadrunners : This year Houston has the edge, but never underestimate the Roadrunners.  This one could really go either way.  HOUSTON by six

Tulsa Golden Hurricane at Wyoming Cowboys : I picked the Cowboys to win this game when I planned my preview column, but after watching them collapse against Illinois, I'm not so sure.  I'll figure it was the Illinois defense that contributed more to that one-sided loss, but if Wyoming is partially to blame, then Tulsa could pull off the upset here.  WYOMING by four

BYU Cougars at South Florida Bulls : The Bulls aren't ready to face an opponent of this caliber, but watch them later in the season.  BYU by 12

Memphis Tigers at Mississippi State Bulldogs : The Tigers could be a strong force this season, but they really have to beyond their limits to win this one.  MISSISSIPPI STATE by 14

Main Black Bears at New Mexico Lobos : Here it is!  My actual PICK for a FCS victory!  MAINE by ten

Boise State Broncos at Oregon State Beavers : The Beavers can be dangerous on their home turf, but I think the Broncos are just too strong.  BOISE STATE by 13

Sun Sept 4

Florida State Seminoles at LSU Tigers : This will be a defensive battle, which gives the Tigers an edge.  LSU by seven

Mon Sept 5

Clemson Tigers at Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets : I think Clemson is over-rated this preseason, but the Yellow Jackets aren't strong enough to knock them off. CLEMSON by 12


Tuesday, August 23, 2022

NCAA Football 2022 Week 1 Part I

 So we get a sneak preview of the football season, as some teams begin this Saturday.  No MAC teams open their season, but we have a couple of FBS v FCS match-ups, so watch for the first upsets of the season!

Austin Peay Governors at Western Kentucky Hilltoppers : Well, no upset likely here!  Austin Peay struggles against teams at their own level, so this is a means for the Hilltoppers to start with a win.  WESTERN KENTUCKY by 17

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Northwestern Wildcats : One of three conference play openers this week, the Cornhuskers go up against the stiff defense of Northwestern.  Not a good way to start the season.  I hope nobody gets injured in this one.  NORTHWESTERN by 14

Idaho State Bengals at UNLV Running Rebels : This is our most likely chance for an FCS upset.  The Bengals faded at the end of last season, but they showed some strength.  They have many of their starters back, and that experience will benefit them.  The Rebels have some holes, so they shouldn't believe this will be an easy win.  UNLV by eight

UConn Huskies at Utah State Aggies : If this was a basketball game, these two teams would be very competitive.  In football, UConn just isn't a competitor.  UTAH STATE by 16

Wyoming Cowboys at Illinois Fighting Illini : The Illini have talent, but they had execution errors last season.  They spent much of the spring working on that, and most of those players return.  The offenses should be significantly better, which will be a problem for the Cowboys, whose defense is suspect.  ILLINOIS by 16

Charlotte 49ers at Florida Atlantic Owls : This is an interesting conference matchip!  Neoither team is exceptionally strong, so this one will likely be close, and could come down to the last play.  In tight games like that, I usually favor the home team, so I'll do that.  FLORIDA ATLANTIC by two

North Texas Mean Green at UTEP Miners : Another confernce matchip, but this one won't be a runaway.  I think the Miners have the edge, but if the Mean Green are better than I think, this will be a really close and interesting game.  UTEP by ten

Nevada Wolf Pack at New Mexico State Aggies : Nevada is a bit down this year, but the Aggies rarely field a really challenging team, so the Wolf Pack should start with a win.  NEVADA by 12

Vanderbilt commodores at Hawaii Rainbow Warriors : Hawaii has a powerful offense, and they love to control the pace of the game.  If the Commodores' defense can't keep up, Hawaii will blow them away.  However, if the Commodores' defense can throw them off their game, they could engineer an upset.  HAWAII by 20


Friday, August 19, 2022

NCAA 2022 Previews

 Instead of three different preview columns, I have diminished my focus to the Big Ten (for the last year) and the Gang of Give, so I will produce just one preview colum.  That column covers six conferences, so let's get started.

Big Ten

East:

1.  Ohio State Buckeyes (9-0 conference/12-0 overall) : The loss to Michigan last year, and failing to reach the College Playoffs, was a wake-up call.  The Buckeyes realized that they had gotten a bit complacent, automatically assuming they were the top team in the conference.  Even trailing at halftime didn't alarm them, as their gap was also small, and they would usually completely overpower opponents in the third quarter, being one of the best halftime adjustment teams in the conference.

Such confidence is dulled this season.  The practices have been more intense, and the players have been more willing to all out errors among themselves, even before the coaches do.  QB CJ Stroud has remarked that the intensity and responsibility among the players has been refreshing.  It has made him feel better, knowing that the players will push their opponents and watch for all opportunities to take control and momentum away from their opponents.  Stroud is also more comfortable under center with a year under his belt.  The Buckeyes are hungry, and hove the talent to chew up their opponents.

2.  Michigan State Spartans (6-3/9-3) : The defense is strong, and they have a hearty slate of runners, but the biggest question is on quarterback.  Whoever wins the starting spot will be a new man under center.  Thankfully he has good hands among his receivers, a decent line, and a fairly easy early schedule to help work him into the big time.

3.  Michigan Wolverines (6-3/8/2) : The Wolverines return with a scary good offense, but their Achilles Heel will be the same they had in 2020 -- their defense.  A projected loss to offensive powerhouse Hawaii will throw them akilter, and they will keep mixing thing,s trying to find the right formula.   That confusion and constant change could lead to a loss at Indiana against a strong Hoosier team, if they didn't falter already against Maryland.

4.  Indiana Hoosiers (6-3/8-2) : This team has a strong first string, but they lack depth.  Unfortunately, most of their strongest opponents are played late in the season, when injuries will put some of those weaker benchwarmers on the fireld.  The Hoosiers should get some early national attention, though, as they rebound from a loss to Cincinnati with four straight conference wins, including an upset of befuddled Michigan.

5.  Penn State Nittany Lions (5-4/7-5) : Linebacker U will still have a decent secondary, but both lines need work.  QB Sean Clifford has a nagging history of injuries, and a fractured offensive line will not help him stay healthy.  Clifford doesn't have a really strong corps of tight ends to dump off to, and top runner Nick Singleton isn't the best dump-off option, either.

6. Maryland Terrapins (3-6/6-6) : The Terps will reach a bowl game again this year, but I'm not sure they'll win it.  Once again, the Terrapins will roar through their non-conference schedule, but their bench isn't long enough to stand up to the punishment of a Big Ten season.

7.  Rutgers Scarlet Knights (1-8/3-9) : The Knights have a good enough defense to keep them from being blown out in most games, but they don't have a strong enough offense to win most games.

West

1. Iowa Hawkeyes (7-2/10-2) :This one will be a surprise to the national analysts, but they've been ignoring the Hawkeyes for years.  They have many of their high-powered offensive players from last year, and it appears they have improved their defense.  This team is dangerous, so their opponents better not ignore them.

2.  Wisconsin Badgers (6-3/9-3) : Once again, the ground game should dominate the Badgers offensive scheme.  QB Graham Mertz is capable, but not spectacular.  Loaded for bear with a strong stable of runners, and a fierce offensive line ready to open holes for them, the ground game will once again dominate.

3. Northwestern Wildcats (5-4/8-4) : Their defense still looks stout, but there are some question marks on offense.  Their special teams squad is capable of some amazing plays, so opponents should not take fourth down for granted.

4.  Minnesota Golden Gophers (4-5/7-5) : Minnesota will stay close in many games, but they won't win all of those.  Their squad is a little young.  They'll also have some problems later in the season, as their bench is a bit light on talent.

5.  Illinois Fighting Illin (3-6/5-7) : Despite having many of their players back from last year, consistency is the Achilles Heel of my Illini.  If they play like they have the past two seasons, they will surprise and upset one conference opponent, giving them a shot at a bowl game, but they still aren't a strong team.

6.  Nebraska Cornhuskers (2-7/3-9) : The Conrjuskers find themselves in the midst of a rebuilding year, so we can't really expect too much.  Maybe next year.

7.  Purdue Boilermakers (1-8/2-10) : Unfortunately it doesn't look like a good year for the Boilermakers.  The daughter of a friend of mine will be starting school there this fall.  My advice to her:  don't attend a football game if you need a pick-me-up.

MAC

 East

1.  Buffalo Bulls (7-1/9-3) : The Bulls have a stingy and dangerous defense that will lead the conference in takeaways.  The strength will propel them to the division lead, as they offense is capable but not spectacular.  If they fall behind, it will be the job of the defense to stuff their opponents and give the offense a short field.

2   Miami Ohio Redhawks (6-2/7-5) : This team returns most of their squad from last year, and their offense was one of the most productive last year.  Look for them to do even better this year.

3.  Kent State Golden Flashes (5-3/6-6) :Kent State has a nice squad of offensive players, but they have some concerns on the offensive line.  Those guys ahd better move fast, and develop plays quickly, as opposing defenses are going to be getting into their faces, at least early in the season.  Hopefully the line will improve.

4.  Ohio Bobcats (4-4/6-6) : The Bobcats fell quite a bit last year under a new coach.  It is uncertain how well he will advance in his second year, but at least his players have more experience.

5. Akron Zips (2-6/4-8) : It's a rebuilding year for the Zips, but at least a favorable schedule will not make it a terrible one.

6.  Bowling Green Falcons (1-7/1-11) : Having the toughest non-conference schedule, and a pretty tough conference one, will make this a long season for the Falcons and their fans.

West

1.   Northern Illinois Huskies (7-1/10-2) : The Huskies might have the best offense in the conference, and their defense is second only to Buffalo.  They will make it tough for their non-conference opponents, and reach the Top 25 nice and early.

2.  Toledo Rockets (5-3/7-5) : The Rockets also have a good offense, although some new faces on the offensive line will give them a slow start. Worse for the Rockets -- their toughest conference games are among their first four.

3.  Central Michigan Chippewas (5-3/7-5) : It looks to be a pretty good season for the Chippewas.  They aren't a flashy team, but they are stable and control the clock very well.  I see similarities to Wisconsin in  this bunch, especially in their ability to control the line of scrimmage and establish a ground-chewing running gmae.

4.  Western Michigan Broncos (4-4/5-7) : A thin bench will prove to be the undoing of the Broncos, as they face some stiff competition early, which will likely knock out some key players.  If their bench develops quickly, they might do better.

5.  Ball State Cardinals (1-7/3-9) : Wicked schedule for a team going through a rebuilding year

6.  Eastern Michigan Eagles (0-8/1-11) : The Eagles have the toughest schedule in the conference.  Definitely a nasty trick to play of the team.

American Athletic:

1.  Houston Cougars (8-0/12-0) : The Cougars return most of their phenomenal 2021 squad who went unbeaten in conference play and knocked off Auburn in their bowl game.  With a favorable non-conference schedule, they could become the second Gang of Five team to make the College Football Playoffs, duplicating Cincinnati's achievement last year.

2.  Cincinnati Bearcats (7-1/10-2) : Speaking of those Bearcats, they are the favorite to win the conference by many national analyssts, but they only look at records and not the team news.  The Bearcats graduated nine starters to the NFL, the most in team history.  While some of their backups from last year were good, they lost some of those to graduation, as well.  The Bearcats are not "bare bones", as they had a strong bench last year, but they aren't as strong as they were last year.

3.  UCF Golden Knights (6-2/9-3) : Who has won the most American Athletic titles?  That's the Knights.  While they have a great team this year, they can't compete with Houston.  They will compete nicely with their opponents, though.

4. East Carolina Pirates (5-3/7-5) : The Pirates are known for having a stiff defense, but its the offense that will shine this year, led by QB Holton Ahers.  They have a strong running game, too, so most teams will be playing catchup against them.

5. SMU Mustangs (5-3/7-5) : SMU has a slightly easier schedule, so while they don't play the Pirates, their achievement will be less.  That doesn't diminish the fact that the Mustangs are a hungry team, with a quick defense that identifies and exposes their opponents' weaknesses.

6.  Memphis Tigers (3-5/5-7) : The Tigers freshman QB is highly touted, but we are yet to see how he performs against some of the defenses in this conference.  The Tigers might develop fast and be a stronger team, but I'm not sure.

7.  Navy Midshipmen (3-5/4-8) : The ground-pounding Navy cadets will not have a great year, as they lost some key players.  They won't compete for the Commander-in-Chief trophy, either.

8.  South Florida Bulls (2-6/3-9) : The Bulls still have a stout defense, but their offense is vapid this season.

9.  Temple Owls (1-7/2-10) : The Owls have a feisty crew, but they aren't deep on talent.  If they can avoid injuries they might win a game or two more, but somehow I'm not sure they can avoid that.

10.  Tulsa Golden Hurricane (1-7/2-10) : A rebuilding year for Tyulsa, who is also handicapped with a killer schedule.

11.  Tulane Green Wave (0-8/2-10)

Conference USA:

A couple of teams will be competing for their last Conference USA title, before switching to the American Athletic conference next year.

1.  UTSA Roadrunners (8-0/9-3) : This is the favorite to win the conference, repeating their tremendous run from last year.  The Roadrunners have one of the most dynamic offenses in the couference, so watch them light it up.

2.  UAB Blazers (7-1/10-2) : Here's the other depating member with a strong shot at the conference title.  These two teams are not scheduled to face each other in the regular season, so they will likely face off in the Conference Championship.

3.  UTEP Miners (5-3/6-6) : A stingy defense and talented tight ends makes the Miners an attractive team to surprise some opponents.

4.  Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (4-4/5-8) : The Hilltoppers are going to wich fro a stronger bench, as a series of tough non-conference opponents to start their season may leave them seriously short-handed to start conference play.

5.  Florida Atlantic Owls (4-4/5-7) :The Owls have a good defense, but they suffer some weaknesses in the offense.  That squad will probably get better as the season wears on, and bode well for next season, but it'll still be a long season for the Owls.

6.  North Texas Mean Green (4-4/5-7) : A thion bench, and some holes on both lines, makes this a tough year for the Mean Green.

 7.  Charlotte 49ers (3-5/4-8) : It won't be a stellar year for the 49ers last year in the conference.

8.  Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (3-5/4-8) : The Bulldogs are fighting to regain supremacy in the conference.  Maybe next year.

9. Florida International Golden Panthers (2-6/4-8) : Their defense looks decent, but the offense has holes

01. Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (1-7/3-9)

11. Rice Owls (0-8/1-11)

Mountain West:

Mountain

1.  Boise State Broncos (7-1/10-2) :  The Broncos will once again be a force to reckon eith.  A speedy, often no-huddle offense will attempt to keep opposing defenses confused with their own defense is strong.  A New Years Day bowl is a likely destination for this team.

2.  Utah State Aggies (6-2/8-4) : The Aggies look to be a dangerous team this year, and for a change, that's a danger to the OTHER teams.  With many starters back from an offense that kept improving, the Aggies could be a true force on the field.  The defense is stable, although they need to stiffen their line.

3.  Air Force Falcons (5-3/8-4) : The Falcons have a nice, stable team, but they aren't a "big play" type of team, which is sometimes necessary in this conference.

4. Colorado State Rams (5-3/7-5) : The Rams have a good team, but they have a nasty entdency to lose at least one game each year that they are supposed to win.  That's why a conference title continues to elude them.

5.  Wyoming Cowboys (1-7/3-9)

6.  New Mexico Lobos (0-8/0-12)

West

1.  Fresno State Bulldogs (7-1/9-3) : What a great schedule for the Bulldogs!  they face nearly all of their tough opponents at home, and a talented bench makes them a threat at any time of the season.  

2.  San Diego State Aztecs (6-2/9-3) : As good as Fresno State looks, they have stiff competition from the Aztecs.  San Diego State also has a dynamic offense, and they have a stingy defense to match.  If they can avoid turning the ball over (a common problem) they might win this division.

3.  San Jose Spartans (6-3/8-4) : Defense is the dominant squad for the Spartans.  For many conferences, that would be a good thing.  For the high-scoring Mountain West, not so much.

4.  Nevada Wolf Pack (3-5/6-6) : The Wolf Pack have a decent defense, but their offense needs work.  Have I mentioned how important offense is in this conference?

5.  Hawaii Rainbow Warriors (2-6/4-9) : Their offense is not quite as strong as usual, and the Warriors never have much of a defense.

6.  UNLV Running Rebels (1-7/2-10)

Sun Belt:

East

1.  Appalachia State Mountaineers (7-1/9-3) : The Mountaineers are the best team in the division again.  Strong on both sides of the ball, and often on the positive side of the turnover battle, this team has been a facorite to win every year.

2.  Coastal Carolina Chanticleers (6-2/7-5) : The Chanticleers will be pushing the Mountaineers again, but they'll fall short.  Nothing against their starting squads, but their bench is thin.

3.  Marshall Thundering Herd (6-3/7-5) : An eaay schedule helps the Herd this year, as they aren't quite as strong as usual.

4.  Georgia State Panthers (4-4/5-7) : The Panthers have a defense that can confound opponents, and often win the turnover battle.  Unfortunately their offense doesn't always take advantage of those opportunities.

5.  Georgia Southern Eagles (3-5/4-8) : The Eagles face a rebuilding year

6.  Old Dominion hs (2-6/3-9) 

7.  James Madison Dukes (1-7/3-9) 

West

 1.  Arkansas State Red Wolves (7-1/9-3) : Once again, the Red Wolves are a favorite to win this division.  Even with Troy moving over here, Arkansas State holds the most powerful cards in this division, especially on offense.

2.  Southern Miss Golden Eagles (6-2/9-3) : The defense of the Golden Eagles can snarl the teams in this conference that rely on offense.  If the Eagles fall too far behind, though, they don't be able to mount a strong comeback.

3.  Louisiana Ragin Cajuns (5-3/8-4) : The offense of the Cajuns is a quick scoring one, so taking early leads will be their game plan.  The question is how well their defense can play so that they can maintain that lead.

4.  Troy Trojans (3-5/4-8) : Troy isn't quite as strong as previous years, but they are always capable of surprising.

5.  South Alabama Jaguars (3-5/3-9) : A very favaorable schedule for the Jaguars, but they are still a "weak sibling" in this conference.

6.  UL Monroe Warrhawks (1-7/2-10)

7.  Texas State Bobcats (0-8/2-10)

Monday, August 15, 2022

NFL 2022 Preseasron Week 1: Jimmy G -- Kap Redux?

 Here's a story of a 49ers quarterback:  a talented college player who was not drafter in the first round.  He began his career as a backup to a talented and highly-touted franchise quarterback.  Givem a chance to start when the starter went down to injury, he impressed his coaches and retained the job.  After an impressive season, he came to believe he was bigger than his franchise, and started skipping practice.  Three years later he turned social activist, stopped talking to the coaches and administration, and felt he was such a social media presence that he didn't need to listen to anyone else, instead believing that everyone should follow him.  His lack of practice and separation from the coaches soured his on-field performance, and he was shut out of team activities.  Two years later, he was dismissed.

Yes, I;m talking about Collin Kaepernick.  However, which only a few alterations, the above paragraph could apply to Jimmy Garopollo, who has played the role of :Invisible Man" in the last three preseasons, and most Monday meetings last season.  He 49ers have lost patience with him, and he put all of their efforts, including promotion, behind new starter Trey Lance.  So far Jimmy G's agent is fighting efforts to allow the 49ers to formally put him on the trading block (although, given his attitude, you wonder who might want to pick him up), but you wonder if they will be willing to use a precious spot on their eventual 53-man roster for a player who will not be playing nor participating with the team.  Jimmy G could find himself released, and facing life without a team.

Garopollo was cheered, and was the toast of the town, when he came to San Francisco from New England.  In four years, he has gone from angel to devil, and persona non gratis.  Now the team and the fans are enamored on Trey Lance.  Eh looks good, and you hope he turns out to a be a good leader for the 49ers, but their two previous QB stars soured.  Hopes are high, but recent history seems to be against them.

Wednesday, August 10, 2022

Super conferences - a not-so-super idea

 It's that time of year when I begin planning my college football coverage.  This year I'm taking a new stance, due to the latest Big Ten news.  My conference is turning itself into something that is NOT my old conference.  Starting in 2024, they will add two teams that have historically been bitter enemies-- UCLA and USC.  Apparently the conference is open to adding more Pac-12 teams.  The conference chairman wants to expand to 20 teams.  The motivation is purely and solely greed, wanting more teams to pay dues and share winnings with the conference.  Because, let's face it, a 20-team conference is completely impractical in a sporting sense.

Let's put aside the football season, although that is a primary motivation for the expansion.  Let's look at basketball, which is actually the more popular sport in the midwest, where most of the conference is located.  A typical NCAA basketball season is 32 games.  Part of those games are conference matchips.  In most conferences, teams play each other conference team twice.  That usually encompasses close to half of their games.  However, what happens when you get a 20-team conference?  That is 19 conference opponents.  Clearly, you cannot play each team twice.  With two ten-team divisions, It's unlikely that you would play each division opponent twice and the other conference opponents once, as that totals 28 games, leaving only four non-conference games.  That's not much exposure to other teams in preparation for the NCAA tournament.

Furthermore, consider the complications of a 20-team conference championship.  Unless you have a 10-day tournament, it basically guarantees that only a fraction of the teams can participate in the conference tournament.

Considering the football schedule, two ten-team divisions would mean that teams might only play their division opponents each year, so it is likely that they will not play all of their divisional opponents, so that they can occassionally play other conference opponents.

Of course, a 20-team conference might divide into four 5-team divisions.  Then, football teams could play all four of their divisional opponents, one team from each of the other three divisions, and play five other games, some of which would be other conference opponents.  In basketball, two games against division opponents total eight games, Then they can play the other 15 conference teams once, leaving room for nine non-conference games.  A better schedule, but still awkward.

Now that the Big Ten has stated the intent to become a superconference, you know that the SEC will follow suit.  The Power Five may turn into two power conferences and some also-rans.  Thus, starting this year, I will shift my focus to the conferences mostly ignored -- the Gang of Five.  I will still follow the Big Ten, and include some memories and insights into the those ten teams that constituted the Big Ten conference that I grew up with:  Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Northwestern, Michigan, Michigan State, Ohio State, Wisconsin, Minnesota, and Purdue.  My picks will focus on the Mid-American Conference, as the Big Ten conference was my focus in the past.  I will still produce my Top 25.My preview column next week will examine the Big Ten, MAC, Conference USA, American Athletic, Mountain West, and Sun Belt.