Tuesday, November 5, 2019

NCAA Football 2019 Week 10 results

Not as many upsets this week, possibly due to so few Top 25 teams playing.  Appalachian State and SMU were upset and fell from the ranks of the unbeaten, and Baylor barely survived.  Tennessee shocked UAB, costing them their Top 25 ranking.

Top 25 [Last week's position]
1.  Ohio State Buckeyes (8-0) [1]
2.  Alabama Crimson Tide (8-0) [2]
3.  Penn State Nittany Lions (8-0) [3]
4.  LSU Tigers (8-0) [4]
5.  Clemson Tigers (9-0) [5]
6.  Oklahoma Sooners (7-1) [6]
7.  Oregon Ducks (8-1) [7]
8.  Utah Utes (8-1) [8]
9.  Baylor Bears (8-0) [9]
10. Georgia Bulldogs (7-1) [10]
11. Wisconsin Badgers (6-2) [11]
12. Minnesota Golden Gophers (8-0) [12]
13. Michigan Wolverines (7-2) [13]
14. Auburn Tigers (7-2) [15]
15. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-2) [16]
16. UCF Golden Knights (7-2) [18]
17. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (6-2) [17]
18. Navy Midshipmen (7-1) [24]
19. SMU Mustangs (8-1) [14]
20. Memphis Tigers (8-1) [26]
21. Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-1) [NR]
22. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-1) [19]
23. Louisiana Tech Bulldogs (7-1) [23]
24. Boise State Broncos (7-1) [25]
25. Florida Gators (7-2) [20]

Dropped off: UAB Blazers [#21], Washington Huskies [#22]
On the Edge: Cincinnati Bearcats (7-1), San Diego State Aztecs (7-1), Wyoming Cowboys (6-2), Air Force Falcons (7-2), Indiana Hoosiers (7-2), Kansas State Wildcats (6-2), Texas Longhorns (5-3), Missouri Tigers (5-3), Iowa State Cyclones (5-3)

Big Ten Report
Michigan was the only ranked team who played, and they were impressive again.  Since their attempted fourth quarter comeback against Penn State, their offense has been playing much better, making fewer mistakes and showing real power and talent.  At this rate, they might truly compete against Ohio State at the end of the season.

Indiana and Illinois impressed, and both have sealed (or nearly so) bowl bids.  Illinois needs one more victory, but that should come against Northwestern, if they don't beat Michigan State and seal it sooner.  Purdue upset Nebraska, proving that the Cornhuskers are in a major downwards spiral.

Title Races
These didn't clear up much, with so many teams on a bye week.

American Athletic East:  Cincy barely escaped against hapless East Carolina, which did not look good.  However, the Bearcats still lead the division and a tiebreaker over UCF.  Cincy should beat UConn and South Florida, meaning they will be 6-0 in the conference when they face Temple.  Temple's only chance is to win out and hope Memphis beats Cincinnati.  All Cincy has to do is beat one of those teams, as well as win the two games they should win, to capture the title.
American Athletic West:  Navy leads, but they lost to Memphis, so if Memphis wins out the Tigers get the crown.  Navy still has to face SMU.  The Mustangs also lost to Memphis, so they need to win out and hope Memphis loses a conference game sometime.

ACC Atlantic:  Let's face it, this one will be decided by the Clemson-Wake Forest contest in two weeks.
ACC Coastal:  If Virginia beats Georgia Tech this weekend, they almost lock it up.  A Virginia Tech victory at the end of the season could open the door to other teams (including the Hokies themselves), but it looks to be Virginia's division if they beat the Yellow Jackets.

Big XII:  Baylor still leads, but they have games against Oklahoma and Texas remaining, as well as a bout against TCU.  Baylor could lose two games and fall from the title.  Oklahoma might stand the best chance, although all four of their upcoming opponents could be tough games.

Big Ten East:  This one really won't be decided for a while.  Ohio State should easily beat their next two opponents, setting up for their season-ending bouts against Penn State and an improved Michigan squad.  Penn State faces unbeaten Minnesota this week.  That game is crucial for the Nittany Lions.  A loss there means they must beat Ohio State.
Big Ten West:  Minnesota has three tough games remaining.  If they can beat both Iowa and Wisconsin, they win the division, despite their result against Penn State.  A Penn State loss means both Iowa and Wisconsin realize they could gain a tiebreaker against Minnesota, opening the door for the winner of the Iowa-Wisconsin bout this weekend.

Conference USA East:  Marshall faces Louisiana Tech in a crucial game.  A Marshall loss opens the door for Florida Atlantic, who has an easier schedule.  The Owls only tough contest remaining is the game against Southern Mississippi at the end of the season.  Fortunately Marshall owns the tiebreaker, so if the Owls lose that contest, Marshall could gain the title in the final week.
Conference USA West:  Obviously, if Louisiana Tech wins out, they gain the title.  Even a loss to Marshall will gain them the division if they follow that with a win over UAB.

MAC East:  For all practical purposes, the winner of this week's Ohio-Miami Ohio game decides the division.
MAC West:  If Ball State wins their next two games it doesn't matter how they end the season.  Western Michigan and Central Michigan obviously need to beat Ball State to have a chance.

Mountain West Mountain:  Boise still plays Wyoming and Utah State.  If the Broncos win those two, they capture the division.  Obviously the Cowboys or Aggies need a win against the Broncos.  Wyoming has it tougher, as they travel to Boise to play.  At least the Aggies face them on a friendly field.
Mountain West West:  Basically, San Diego State simply needs to beat Fresno State in two weeks.

Pac-12 North:  Two more victories by Oregon seals it.  Oregon State is the only team with a shot, and they need either Arizona or Arizona State to beat the Ducks before the Beavers would.
Pac-12 South:  Utah needs to win out or, if they lose to UCLA, hope both USC and UCLA lose again.

SEC East:  Two more wins for Georgia seals it.  If one of those victories is this week against Missouri, only Florida would have a chance, and they would need Georgia to lose twice.
SEC West:  This week's Alabama-LSU bout will essentially determine the division winner. An LSU win almost guarantees it for the Tigers, as they have three easy games remaining.  Alabama would still need to beat Auburn to remain unbeaten, but since they'd hold the tiebreaker over LSU, even a loss to Auburn would still give them the division title.

Sun Belt East:  Appalachian State's loss to Georgia Southern actually puts the Eagles in the driver's seat.  Their only tough opponent remaining is Georgia State.  Appalachian State needs to win out and have the Panthers beat the Eagles.
Sun Belt West:  Louisiana has basically won this.  They have four easy games remaining and hold the tiebreaker against Arkansas State.  If Louisiana wins out it won't matter what happens against UL Monroe in the last week.

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