Saturday, November 10, 2018

NCAA Football 2018 Week 11 Top 25 and races

The games aren't quite complete on Saturday night, but my Top 25 is.  A few surprises, but as many as we often get as we near the end of the season.

Top 25 [Last week's position]
1. Alabama Crimson Tide (10-0) [1]
2. Clemson Tigers (10-0) [2]
3. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (10-0) [3]
4. Michigan Wolverines (9-1) [4]
5. UCF Golden Knights (9-0) [5]
6. Oklahoma Sooners (9-1) [6]
7. Georgia Bulldogs (9-1) [7]
8. Ohio State Buckeyes (9-1) [8]
9. West Virginia Mountaineers (8-1) [9]
10. Washington State Cougars (9-1) [10]
11. Utah State Aggies (9-1) [13]
12. LSU Tigers (8-2) [11]
13. Syracuse Orange (8-2) [14]
14. Cincinnati Bearcats (9-1) [15]
15. Penn State Nittany Lions (7-3) [16]
16. Fresno State Bulldogs (8-2) [12]
17. UAB Blazers (9-1) [17]
18. Boise State Broncos (7-2) [22]
19. Texas Longhorns (7-3) [19]
20. Appalachian State Mountaineers (7-2) [23]
21. Buffalo Bulls (9-1) [25]
22. Army Black Knights (8-2) [NR]
23. Iowa Hawkeyes (6-4) [18]
24. Iowa State Cyclones (6-3) [NR]
25. Virginia Cavaliers (7-3) [NR]

Dropped off: Mississippi State Bulldogs [#20], Boston College Eagles [#21], Kentucky Wildcats [#24]
On the Edge: Washington Huskies (7-3), Temple Owls (6-4), Arizona State Sun Devils (6-4), North Texas Mean Green (7-3), Troy Trojans (8-2), Houston Cougars (7-3), Wisconsin Badgers (6-4), Florida Gators (7-3)

Title Races
American Athletic East:  UCF retains the lead and clinch it next week against Cincinnati.  If the Bearcats win out, though, they win.  Temple would need to win out, have Cincy beat UCF, and then Cincy lose their last game.
American Athletic West:  This one is a four-way chaotic race among SMU, Houston, Tulane, and Memphis.  Too complicated to discuss here.  Let's see what next week's results hold.

ACC Atlantic:  Clemson has clinched
ACC Coastal: Pitt clinches with one more win.  Virginia would have to win out and hope Pitt loses both of their remaining games.

Big XII: This one seems like it will come down to the season-ending game featuring Oklahoma and West Virginia. Texas has an outside chance.  The Longhorns would have to win both of their remaining games while Oklahoma loses one and West Virginia loses both.  That means both Oklahoma and West Virginia would have to lose next week for Texas to have a shot.

Big Ten East:  This one will be decided by the Big Game, which looks like favors Michigan based on Ohio State's latest lackluster play.
Big Ten West:  Northwestern has clinched the title.

Conference USA East:  Middle Tennessee needs to beat UAB and hope Florida International loses a game in order to capture the division title they currently lead.  Florida International already beat the Blue Raiders, so they capture the title by winning out OR UAB beating Middle Tennessee.
Conference USA West:  UAB wins by winning out.  One more win OR a Louisiana Tech loss also clinches the title for them.

MAC Title game features Buffalo and Northern Illinois

Mountain: If Boise State loses next week and the Aggies win, Utah State captures the crown.  Otherwise, the winner of the Boise State v Utah State battle at the end of the season determines the title.
West: Fresno State's loss means that the winner of next week's San Diego State v Fresno State game is the division winner

Pac-12 North:  A Washington loss clinches the title for Washington State, and that may come when they face each other at the end of the season.
Pac-12 South: A four-team race makes this a complicated division, too.  Check back next week.

Sun Belt East:  The battle between Troy and Appalachian State at the end of the season will decide this one, unless Appalachian State loses next week.
Sun Belt West: UL Monroe faces the other two contenders for this title, so winning out clinches this title.  A split in the wins depends upon who wins and loses.

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