Tuesday, September 3, 2019

NCAA Football 2019 Week1 results and Week 2 picks

Since nearly all game forecasters have a Top 25, I will provide mine.  I will remind folks that my Top 25 doesn't really take shape until after Week 2, because I do not include teams with a zero or negative point differential against FBS teams (in other words, teams that have only played FCS teams will not be in this ranking).

Top 25
1. Clemson Tigers (1-0)
2. Alabama Crimson Tide (1-0)
3. Wisconsin Badgers (1-0)
4. LSU Tigers (1-0)
5. Ohio State Buckeyes (1-0)
6. Texas Longhorns (1-0)
7. Penn State Nittany Lions (1-0)
8. Georgia Bulldogs (1-0)
9. Washington State Cougars (1-0)
10. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (1-0)
11.Oklahoma Sooners (1-0)
12. Iowa Hawkeyes (1-0)
13. Michigan Wolverines (1-0)
14.Utah Utes (1-0)
15. Michigan State Spartans (1-0)
16. Oklahoma State Cowboys (1-0)
17. Auburn Tigers (1-0)
18. Stanford Cardinal (1-0)
19. Arizona State Sun Devils (1-0)
20. Colorado Buffaloes (1-0)
21. NC State Wolf Pack (1-0)
22. Syracuse Orange (1-0)
23. Kentucky Wildcats (1-0)
24. Cincinnati Bearcats (1-0)
25. Boise State Broncos (1-0)
 Big Ten Report
Not too many surprises.  Illinois definitely looks better than I expected.  Purdue scrapped a great first half lead. Minnesota allowed South Dakota State too many points.  Northwestern held their own against Stanford.  This week should give us an even better view of what they can do.

Upset Minder
Many people see Tennessee's loss as the biggest, but Western Kentucky got skunked by perennial weakling Central Arkansas. Mississippi State, West Virginia, and Arkansas each won, but they nearly lost, and I have to question their strength.

Fri Sept 6
Marshall Thundering Herd at #25 Boise State Broncos:  Boise State should win this one fairly easily. BOISE STATE

Sacramento State Hornets (FCS) at #19 Arizona State Sun Devils:  Easy win, but against FCS opponent.  This could cost them their Top 25 ranking.  ARIZONA STATE

Sat Sept 7
Top 25:
Texas A&M Aggies at #1 Clemson Tigers:  Clemson will wipe A&M off the map, and leave a large deficit for them to overcome to get into my Top 25. CLEMSON

New Mexico State Aggies at #2 Alabama Crimson Tide:  Alabama should roll.  ALABAMA

Central Michigan Chippewas at #3 Wisconsin Badgers:  The Badgers will run all over the Chippewas.  They could gain almost 300 yards on the ground.  WISCONSIN

#4 LSU Tigers at #6 Texas Longhorns:  Wow, they could be the most exciting game of the day!  This game could go either way, so I'll give a slight edge to the home team.  TEXAS

#23 Cincinnati Bearcats at #5 Ohio State Buckeyes:  Cincy will challenge the Buckeyes, so they cannot slack off as they did in the third quarter last week.  The challenge will wake them up, though, and Cincy will lose their Top 25 ranking.  OHIO STATE

Buffalo Bulls at #7 Penn State Nittany Lions:  Easy win for the Nittany Lions.  PENN STATE

Murray State Racers (FCS) at #8 Georgia Bulldogs:  While this win won't help Georgia's ranking at all, they can rest easy until next week.  GEORGIA

Northern Colorado Bears (FCS) at #9 Washington State Cougars:  Another easy game for the ranked team. WASHINGTON STATE

South Dakota Coyotes (FCS) at #11 Oklahoma Sooners: Sooners will have an easier time than against Houston.  OKLAHOMA

Rutgers Scarlet Knights at #12 Iowa Hawkeyes:  Big Ten play begins will an easy win for perhaps the second-best team in the Big Ten West. IOWA

Army Black Knights at #13 Michigan Wolverines:  The Black Knights will test Michigan's ground defense.  If they hold back Army, they stand a chance to stymie Wisconsin.  MICHIGAN

Northern Illinois Huskies at #14 Utah Utes:  Utah embarrassed BYU last week, and they have a chance to embarrass another team this week.  UTAH

Western Michigan Broncos at #15 Michigan State Spartans:  Western Michigan can be a good team, but the Spartans defense is powerful this season.  MICHIGAN STATE

McNeese Cowboys (FCS) at #16 Oklahoma State Cowboys:  The Battle of the Cowboys will lasso a win for Oklahoma State.  OKLAHOMA STATE

Tulane Green Wave at #17 Auburn Tigers:  Tulane may give the Tigers some trouble, but they'll dominate in the fourth to seal the win.  AUBURN

#18 Stanford Cardinal at USC Trojans:  Northwestern's defense made things tough for Stanford last week.  If USC took notes, they might duplicate that effort.  USC doesn't have the defensive personnel as Northwestern, so they won't win, but they keep it close.  STANFORD

Nebraska Cornhuskers at #20 Colorado Buffaloes:  Nebraska wasn't really impressive last week.  If they don't improve, they will have problems in conference play.  They may even have problems this week.  COLORADO

Western Carolina Catamounts (FCS) at #21 NC State Wolf Pack:  This win won't help their ranking, so it'll be interesting to see if NC State remains in the Top 25.  NC STATE

#22 Syracuse Orange at Maryland Terrapins:  Syracuse may come in as the favorite, but that doesn't necessarily mean a win at Maryland; just ask Texas.  I have to like the upset.  MARYLAND

Eastern Michigan Eagles at #23 Kentucky Wildcats:  Kentucky gets a nice win to bolster their confidence before conference play.  KENTUCKY

Big Ten:Vanderbilt Commodores at Purdue Boilermakers:  Nevada's comeback should wake up the Purdue defense, so I don't think Vandy will repeat that feat, but Purdue is prime for an upset again.  PURDUE

Illinois Fighting Illini at UConn Huskies:  Given their bout with Akron, Illinois should excel in this game.  ILLINOIS

Eastern Illinois Panthers (FCS) at Indiana Hoosiers:  Indiana gets a nice win.  INDIANA

Minnesota Golden Gophers at Fresno State Bulldogs:  Prior to last week, I would pick Minnesota with no hesitancy.  Now, I acknowledge that the Bulldogs could pull this one out, but I'll keep my original pick.  MINNESOTA

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