Thursday, September 26, 2019

NFL 2019 Week 3 results and Week 4 picks

Well, we're starting to see some interesting results from the first three weeks of the season.  Among those:
1. Reports of Indy's demise were overstated : Jacoby Brissett has proven an able replacement for Andrew Luck, and the Colts remain competitive in the stiff AFC South.
2. Rise of the Bills : Buffalo's efforts are yielding high results.  Although they have to play the Pats twice, the rest of the conference should have reason to fear the Bills.
3. Cleveland was overhyped : The Browns were touted as possible division winners.  Now it looks like the playoffs may be a long shot.  And this in a year when Pittsburgh is the pits and the Bengals are benign.
4. Joe Flacco is out of gas : Proving that Flacco's success in Baltimore was based on the players and staff around him, Flacco can't get the Broncos to move at all.
5. The Lions roar : Detroit may turn out to be the surprise team of the season.

A developing story may be brewing in the Big Apple, if Daniel Jones can repeat his amazing performance from this past week.

Power Rankings [Last week's rank]
1. New England Patriots (3-0) [1]
2. Dallas Cowboys (3-0) [3]
3. Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) [5]
4. San Francisco 49ers (3-0) [4]
5. Los Angeles Rams (3-0) [6]
6. Baltimore Ravens (2-1) [2]
7. Buffalo Bills (3-0) [7]
8. Green Bay Packers (3-0) [9]
9. Minnesota Vikings (2-1) [11]
10. Detroit Lions (2-0-1) [NR]
11. Houston Texans (2-1) [12]
12. Chicago Bears (2-1) [NR]

Division Rankings [Last week's rank]
1. NFC North [2] : Not a single team has less than two wins and half the division is unbeaten.  The "black and blue" division is the toughest in the league.
2. NFC West [1] : The Cards bring them down, otherwise this would be a stacked division.
3. AFC South [4] : When even the team with the worst record has a winning point difference, you know this division performs.
4. AFC East [7] : A major difference between the top half and the bottom half
5 (tie). AFC West [3] and NFC South [8]
7. NFC East [5] : Dallas is the only real competitor, making this likely to be the first division to crown its winner.
8. AFC North [6]

Thursday night
Philadelphia Eagles at Green Bay Packers : The Pack is healthy, so they'd better rack up the wins.  Once injuries set in, their bench is thin.  PACK, 24-20

Sunday early games
Carolina Panthers at Houston Texans: Carolina is suffering from chronic underachievement.  The Texans find a way to win.  TEXANS, 27-23

Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens:  Despite the hype, the new Browns will still lose to the old Browns.  RAVENS, 31-17

Kansas City Chiefs at Detroit Lions:  Our first battle of unbeatens this weekend features the surprising Lions.  They have looked good, but their defense has some flaws, which is bad news against the offensive behemoth that is Kansas City.  CHIEFS, 31-23

Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins:  No question that the Dolphins are the worst team in the league.  Their offense is averaging less than six points a game. CHARGERS, 24-6

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills:  We go from worst to first as the most dominating team in the league, the New England Patriots, highlight our other battle of the unbeatens.  PATS, 30-20

Oakland Raiders at Indianapolis Colts:  Jon Gruden may have thought he'd have an easy win here when Andrew Luck retired, but Jacoby Brissett and the Colts have other ideas.  COLTS, 24-17

Tennessee Titans at Atlanta Falcons:  This should be a close and interesting game.  Tennessee has gone downhill after an impressive opener while Atlanta is starting to find their footing again.  Can Tennessee recover?  I think so, and their defense will be the squad that makes this victory possible.  TITANS, 24-20

Washington Redskins at New York Giants:  The Giants had looked atrocious, and then they benched Eli Manning.  Daniel Jones had a phenomenal game last week.  If he can keep that up, the Giants sudden become a contender.  GIANTS, 26-23

Sunday late games
Jacksonville Jaguars at Denver Broncos:  Neither team has looked impressive, although Gardner Minshew is starting to get more comfortable under center.  Since Joe Flacco looks completely confused, that should be the difference in this game.  JAGS, 20-16

Minnesota Vikings at Chicago Bears:  The Bears defense is tenacious, and will bother Vikings QB Kurt Cousins all game.  If he falters, the Bears could win, but Cousins might just hold his cool enough to pull this one out.  VIKINGS, 24-17

Seattle Seahawks at Arizona Cardinals:  It's got to be tough for the Cardinals.  They have played well, but they can't get that elusive first victory.  I'm not sure it will come here.  SEAHAWKS, 26-20

Tampa Bay Bucs at Los Angeles Rams:  The Bucs will fight hard, but this is the Rams game.  RAMS, 24-17

Sunday night
Dallas Cowboys at New Orleans Saints:  Teddy Bridgewater did a great job last week at Seattle, but this game will more test the Saints defense than Bridgewater and the offense.  The Saints defense is improved, but the Cowboys just have too much firepower.  COWBOYS, 30-24

Monday Night Football
Cincinnati Bengals at Pittsburgh Steelers:  Someone will receive their first victory.  With Big Ben injured, I have to favor the Bengals in this battle of the disappointments.  BENGALS, 27-17

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